About Forecast The World

Forecast The World is an independent publication about what happens next. We turn the biggest questions of our time into clear, probability-based forecasts — each with a confidence score you can hold us to.

What We Do

Every day, the world is full of confident predictions and empty of accountability. We take a different approach. For each question we cover — across technology, the economy, health, climate, geopolitics, sports, culture, and everyday life — we publish a single, plainly written forecast and attach a percentage confidence to it. A 78% forecast means something different from a 52% one, and we want you to see exactly how sure we are.

How Our Forecasts Are Made

Each forecast is built by our research desk from a wide base of public evidence — historical data, expert analysis, official statistics, market signals, and the reporting of reputable institutions. We weigh that evidence, lay out the most likely paths, and translate the result into a probability written in everyday language. Our aim is to be genuinely useful to a curious general reader, not to impress with jargon.

Confidence levels are estimates, and we revise them as the world changes and new information emerges. When a forecast's outcome is eventually decided by real events, the record stands — that is the point of putting a number on it.

Important: Our forecasts are probabilistic estimates for general information and interest only. They are not guarantees, and they are not financial, investment, legal, medical, or professional advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified professional before making decisions.

Independence

Forecast The World is independently operated. We keep the site free to read and support it through advertising. Advertising never influences which forecasts we publish or the confidence we assign them.

Get In Touch

Questions, feedback, or a correction? We'd like to hear from you — visit our Contact page.